Why Leading Indicators Are Better Than Lagging Indicators in Trading the Stock Market

Price Action and Central Pivot Range are the best leading indicators use with one lagging indicator Moving average for confluence for profitable Trading.

Tue Aug 29, 2023

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." - Warren Buffett

"92 % of New traders fail in the stock market trading because of lack of appropriate tools and technique" —  Trading Direction

In Share markets trading, beginner traders employ various tools to analyze price movements. Among these tools, indicators play a pivotal role, helping traders to make best decisions about when to buy or sell. But not all indicators gives best signal for trading. There's are leading and lagging indicators. So, which should you trade with for Profitable trading.

Leading Indicators are important support and resistance Which are same and will not change as per prices movements. They are best tool to predict future price movements. They are proactive, providing early signals, and are ideal for traders seeking to catch a trend. Examples, Price Action, CPR indicator

Lagging Indicators, Show signal late and they rely on past price data to draw their conclusions. They may be confirmatory in nature. These indicators can provide reassurance to traders already on a trend. Example Moving Averages, Bollinger  Band, RSI, MACD etc.

1. Standard Central Pivot Range (CPR) : The Standard Central Pivot Range is like a GPS for traders navigating the markets. It draw potential support and resistance levels ahead of time. Just as your GPS anticipates a turn before you reach it, CPR gives traders an early glimpse of potential market turning points. 

CPR by Trading Direction ( Free available on Trading view platform is y favorites' indicator for intraday trading. 


Hence CPR by Trading Direction is favorite among day traders looking for precision in their entries and exits.

2. Fibonacci Retracement : Fibonacci retracement levels are like the sweet spot left behind by market movements. They're derived from the Fibonacci sequence and can help traders identify potential reversal levels. Much like a treasure hunter following a map, traders use Fibonacci retracement to discover hidden trading opportunities.

Now, I  will explain you about Lagging indicator,

1. Moving averages : It is based on historical price data and smooth out the fluctuations in prices over a specified period. 

  • EMA are dependent on historical price data.
  • Smoothing effect results in a lag behind the actual price movements.
  • Delayed Signals: Because moving averages are calculated from past prices, they generate signals after a trend has already begun or reversed. For example, a moving average crossover (when a short-term moving average 20 EMA crosses above or below a longer-term moving average 200 EMA ) may indicate a trend change after the new trend has started.


  • In above picture Blue color line indicates 20 Exponential moving average and Red color line is 200 period Exponential moving average.
  • While moving averages are lagging indicators, they play a crucial role in technical analysis by providing context and confirming trends. I combine leading indicator with one lagging indicator, moving averages to develop more comprehensive trading strategies.

2. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) : MACD is the storyteller of trends, revealing the momentum and direction of a trend. It's like reading a book - you need some chapters to understand the whole story. 

3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI is the watchful guardian of the market, always looking out for overbought or oversold conditions. It measures the speed and change of price movements. While it doesn't predict trends, it provides invaluable confirmation. Hence accuracy of RSI is very less compared to CPR indicator.

4. Bollinger Bands : It is the boundaries of market volatility. These bands contract and expand, reflecting market conditions. They are like the walls of a rubber room - when price action bounces off them, traders get a late signals. 

Which is best indicator for Profitable Trading ?
If you want to become Profitable professional Trader then leading indicators like Standard Central Pivot Range and Fibonacci retracement may be your good of choice. They're like fortune tellers guiding you into the future. However, if you prefer a more conservative approach, lagging indicators such as Moving average offer a reliable, history-backed confirmation of trends. EMA is your trusted historians, providing insights when you need them. The confluence  of Both is best. This combination allows me to predict future trends while confirming their entries and exits with historical data. I love a crystal ball and a history book combination for high reward and less risk trade. Remember that successful trading is an art, and you need to be a good artist.

~ Read more in my Books - Check out my unique and valuable Books .

~ - Visit my Amazon and Non-Amazon Bookstores for Paperbacks and eBooks.

~ Subscribe to my YouTube Channels.

~ - How to setup CPR indicator

~ - Offer @99 CPR Brahmastra Strategy by Trading Direction

~ - Website Trading Direction

Summary and key takeaway,

92% of new traders fail due to inadequate tools. Trading Direction tried and tested strategies based on leading and lagging indicators helping many retail traders. You can use CPR with price action as a potent leading tool and Moving Averages as a lagging confirmation. Synergizing these indicators crafts a successful trading strategy."



Trading Direction
Trader | Author | Mentor

Launch your GraphyLaunch your Graphy
100K+ creators trust Graphy to teach online
𝕏
Trading Direction 2024 Privacy policy Terms of use Contact us Refund policy
As a trader, it's important to understand the various types of trading strategies that can be employed in the stock market. From Technical Analysis to Intraday Trading, Positional Trading to Options Trading, Futures Trading to Day Trading, Swing Trading to Forex Trading, and even Cryptocurrency Trading, there are many ways to make money in the markets. Technical Analysis involves studying charts and using various indicators to predict future price movements. Intraday Trading is all about making quick and fast trades during the day and market hours to take advantage of short-term price movements. Positional Trading, on the other hand, involves holding positions for longer periods of time, usually days or weeks, in order to capture larger price movements. Options Trading is a way to trade the underlying asset without actually owning it, while Futures Trading involves buying and selling futures contracts that allow traders to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price and date. Day Trading is similar to Intraday Trading, but with a focus on making trades that can be closed out within the same day. Swing Trading involves holding positions for a few days to a few weeks, and is often used to take advantage of longer-term trends in the market. Forex Trading involves trading currencies, with the goal of making a profit from the exchange rate movements between different currencies. And Cryptocurrency Trading involves buying and selling digital currencies, such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, with the goal of making a profit from the price movements in these assets. As a Intraday trader, it's important to learn High probability trading strategies suited to your trading style and goals. With the right strategy and approach, anyone can succeed in the world of stock market trading. For more learning visit www.tradingdirection.in